Huron County, Michigan Covid Case and Exposure Risk Tracker

Tracking Coronavirus in
Huron County is at an extremely high risk of exposure to Covid-19.
The risk of exposure to Covid-19 is based on cases per capita and test positivity.
low
medium
high
very high
extremely high
New reported cases by day
Total on Apr. 16 31 14-day change –11%
20
40
60
80 cases
Feb. 2021
Mar.
Apr.
7–day average
32

Hospitalized

14-day change+78%
Jan. 16 Apr. 16

Deaths

Last two weeks5
Jan. 16 Apr. 16

Test positivity

14-day avg.33%
Jan. 16 Apr. 16

Fully vaccinated

30%

See who is eligible ?

About this data Sources: State and local health agencies (cases, deaths); U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (hospitalizations, tests); Centers for Disease Control (vaccinations). Risk calculated with 14-day averages. Cases and deaths charts show 7-day averages. Test positivity chart shows 14-day averages. Hospitalization data is a weekly average of Covid-19 patients in hospital service areas that intersect with Huron County. County-level testing data from Maine, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma, Washington and Wyoming may underestimate the total number of tests. The calculated test positivity may be unreliable in some counties in these states. No vaccination data was available for Hawaii and some other places. Counties in some other states were excluded because more than a quarter of vaccination data is missing.

Cases have stayed about the same over the past week and are still extremely high. The number of hospitalized Covid patients has risen in the Huron County area. Deaths have remained at about the same level. The test positivity rate in Huron County is very high, suggesting that cases are being significantly undercounted. We’ve recommended additional precautions below.

How to protect yourself and others

Based on the extraordinarily severe outbreak in Huron County right now, here’s how to lower your personal risk of getting Covid-19 and protect your community, according to public health experts.

These recommendations were developed for unvaccinated individuals. We developed this advice with experts at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Resolve to Save Lives, an initiative of Vital Strategies. If you or someone in your household is older or has other risk factors for severe Covid-19, you may need to take extra precautions.

Indoor activities are extremely dangerous right now.

Avoid indoor dining, bars, gyms, movie theaters and nonessential shopping, as well as having friends over to your home, and indoor personal care services like haircuts and manicures. Given the severity of the outbreak in Huron County, spending time inside with people from other households puts you at risk for getting the coronavirus or spreading it to others.

Whenever possible, you should choose delivery or curbside pickup instead of shopping in person. If shopping in person is the only option, limit yourself to buying only essential supplies, shop during less crowded hours and keep your visits as short as possible.

Avoid nonessential travel.

Avoid all nonessential travel. If you must take a taxi, open the windows and sit far away from others in the vehicle. If you need to take public transit, try to avoid rush hours and crowds so you can keep your distance from others. If you fly, choose less crowded flights or airlines that keep middle seats empty.

Avoid events with more than a handful of people.

Weddings, funerals, concerts, sporting events and other gatherings that bring multiple households together are places where Covid can spread easily. At this level of risk, even outdoor events are not safe, so consider postponing. Religious services are safest when conducted outdoors and without singing.

Outdoor activities can be a good substitute.

Walking, cycling, running and other outdoor individual workouts are the safest kinds of exercise. Low-contact outdoor sports like singles tennis, skateboarding and golf may be enjoyed safely. Contact sports like basketball and soccer should be avoided.

Because of the extremely high risk of exposure to Covid in Huron County, even outdoor dining and outdoor bars are unsafe.

Protect yourself at work and school.

Work remotely when possible and avoid in-person meetings. In the workplace, less crowded hours are the safest to be on the job.

Children tend to have less-severe symptoms but can still spread the coronavirus, so consider the health risks of everyone in your household when making decisions about your child’s activities.

Learning environments where students stay in small groups at all times make it safer for younger students to go to school. Older students should choose online instruction if possible. Avoid play dates and extracurricular activities.

Get medical care if you need it.

Do not skip or delay medical care, including mental health care. Talk to your doctors about postponing any nonessential appointments. If you have an appointment, call before your visit to find out if you need to take special precautions, and ask if telehealth is a good option for you.

Take these important precautions all the time.

You should stay at least six feet away from people who live in other households. Wear a mask that covers your nose and mouth when you are outside your home and whenever you are around people who do not live with you, including any visitors to your home.

If you feel sick or have been exposed to someone with Covid, you should stay home and get tested. If someone in your household feels sick or has been diagnosed with Covid-19, everyone should wear a mask, wash their hands often and stay at least six feet apart from one another, even inside your home.

Avoid crowds, and limit the number of people you meet and the amount of time you spend with them. Avoid indoor spaces with poor airflow. Wash your hands often, especially after visiting a public place or blowing your nose, coughing or sneezing.

If you are fully vaccinated, you may choose to follow the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s recommendations for fully vaccinated people since your risk of getting sick is much lower, but you should be mindful that it may still be possible for you to transmit Covid-19 to others. Vaccinated people should still wear a mask and practice social distancing in public places.

What can I do after being vaccinated?

According to the C.D.C., vaccinated people can participate in additional activities two weeks after receiving their final vaccine dose.

It’s low-risk to have indoor visits with other fully vaccinated people, such as inviting another household over for dinner without masks and without social distancing, as long as the size of these gatherings is limited to a few households.

Vaccinated people can also socialize indoors with unvaccinated people from a single household without a mask or social distancing, as long as none of the unvaccinated individuals are at elevated risk of severe Covid-19. For example, fully vaccinated grandparents can visit their healthy unvaccinated children and grandchildren.

Fully vaccinated people can also resume domestic travel and don’t need to get tested or self-quarantine after traveling.

Read more detailed advice on what you can do after vaccination here.

Cases have stayed about the same over the past week and are still extremely high.

New reported cases by day
20
40
60
80 cases
Apr. 2020
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Jan. 2021
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
Statewide probable data released
New cases
7–day average
32
About this data Note: The 7-day average is the average of a day and the previous 6 days of data.

An average of 32 cases per day were reported in Huron County, about the same as the average two weeks ago. Since the beginning of the pandemic, at least 1 in 9 residents have been infected, a total of 3,608 reported cases.

April 2021 has been the worst month for cases in Huron County.

Average cases per capita Fewer More

The number of hospitalized Covid patients has risen in the Huron County area. Deaths have remained at about the same level.

The map below shows the average I.C.U. occupancy at nearby hospitals.

Hospitalized Covid-19 patients in the Huron County area
20
40
60
80 hospitalized
Nov. 2020
Dec.
Jan. 2021
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
7–day average
0
About this data Source: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Hospitalization data is a weekly average of Covid-19 patients in hospital service areas that intersect with Huron County.

The trend in deaths tends to lag weeks behind the trend in reported cases.

New reported deaths by day in Huron County
5
10 deaths
Apr. 2020
May
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Jan. 2021
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
Deaths
7–day average
1
About this data Note: The 7-day average is the average of a day and the previous 6 days of data.

Nearby counties are also at an extremely high risk level.

Cases have increased recently in Tuscola, and in Sanilac Counties. See the full national map of county-level risk assessments.

Covid-19 exposure risk in nearby counties
low
medium
high
very high
extremely high

About the data

In data for Michigan, The Times primarily relies on reports from the state, as well as health districts or county governments that often report ahead of the state. The state does not update its data on Sundays. Prior to September 2020, it released new data daily. The state reports cases and deaths based on a person’s permanent or usual residence. The state also includes nonresidents diagnosed in the state, but The Times excludes this category since nonresidents are likely also counted in their home state.

The Times has identified the following reporting anomalies or methodology changes in the data:

  • Jan. 14, 2021: Data from the Michigan Department of Corrections was added for prisons in Chippewa, Gratiot, Montcalm and other counties.
  • Jan. 2, 2021: Michigan reported data for three days after not announcing new data on Dec. 31 or Jan. 1.
  • Dec. 26, 2020: Michigan reported data for Dec. 24-26 after reporting no data on the previous two days.
  • Dec. 4, 2020: Data from the Michigan Department of Corrections was added for prisons in Alger, Baraga, Chippewa, Gratiot, Ionia, Jackson, Lenawee, Luce and Montcalm counties.
  • Nov. 27, 2020: Michigan reported data for Nov. 26 and Nov. 27 after reporting no data on Thanksgiving.
  • Nov. 3, 2020: Data from the Michigan Department of Corrections was added for prisons in Marquette, Ionia, Luce and other counties.
  • Aug. 21, 2020: Michigan did not report new cases or deaths while resolving a technical issue.
  • June 5, 2020: Michigan began reporting probable cases and deaths statewide, leading to a one-day increase in total cases and deaths.
  • June 1, 2020: The Times began including probable cases and deaths reported by Michigan's county and regional health districts.
  • April 15, 2020: Our database began to include cases and deaths among federal and state prison inmates in Michigan, which are reported separately by the state department of health.
  • The Times totals for each county in Michigan include cases and deaths among federal and state prison inmates, which are reported separately by the state department of health. Prison cases and deaths are included starting April 15.

The tallies on this page include probable and confirmed cases and deaths.

Confirmed cases and deaths, which are widely considered to be an undercount of the true toll, are counts of individuals whose coronavirus infections were confirmed by a molecular laboratory test. Probable cases and deaths count individuals who meet criteria for other types of testing, symptoms and exposure, as developed by national and local governments.

Governments often revise data or report a single-day large increase in cases or deaths from unspecified days without historical revisions, which can cause an irregular pattern in the daily reported figures. The Times is excluding these anomalies from seven-day averages when possible.

About the Covid-19 exposure risk levels

Huron County is at an extremely high risk level because there was an average of 127 daily cases per 100,000 people reported in the past two weeks and the test positivity was over 10 percent. The risk in Huron County will decrease to very high risk if the test positivity drops below 10 percent and the daily case rate drops to less than about 45.7 cases per 100,000 people over the past two weeks.

澳门葡京网址 worked with public health experts at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Resolve to Save Lives, an initiative of Vital Strategies, to develop guidance on how individuals may reduce their risk of exposure to Covid. There is specific guidance for each risk level.

A county’s Covid-19 exposure risk is determined based on the number of reported cases and testing data. Although county risk levels are assigned based on expert guidance and careful analysis, it is possible that the risk level in a specific county may be over or underestimated because of a lack of reliable data.

A county is at an extremely high risk level if it reported an average daily rate of more than 45 cases per 100,000 people over the past two weeks. Small counties with a population of less than 5,000 people are in this category if they reported more than 32 cases over the past two weeks. A county with fewer cases may also be in this category if more than 10 percent of tests had a positive result over the past two weeks. This can mean that the county is not testing enough, and that the number of cases may be significantly undercounted.

A county is at a very high risk level if it reported an average daily rate of more than 11 cases per 100,000 people over the past two weeks. Small counties with a population of less than 5,000 people are in this category if they reported more than 8 cases over the past two weeks. A county with fewer cases may also be in this category if more than 10 percent of tests had a positive result over the past two weeks. This can mean that the county is not testing enough, and that the number of cases may be significantly undercounted.

A county is at a high risk level if it reported an average daily rate of about 3 or more cases per 100,000 people over the past two weeks. Small counties with a population of less than 5,000 people are in this category if they reported more than 2 cases over the past two weeks. A county with fewer cases may also be in this category if more than 10 percent of tests had a positive result over the past two weeks. This can mean that the county is not testing enough, and that the number of cases may be significantly undercounted.

A county is at a medium risk level if it reported an average daily rate of about 1 case per 100,000 people over the past two weeks. Small counties with a population of less than 5,000 people are in this category if they reported 1 or more cases over the past two weeks.

A county is at a low risk level if it reported an average daily rate of less than 1 case per 100,000 people over the past two weeks. Small counties with a population of less than 5,000 people are in this category if they reported no cases over the past two weeks.

In some cases, a county might not have a risk level if not enough recent data was available, or if inconsistencies were found in the data. If a county’s recent testing data was not available, the rate of positive tests in the state was used, along with recent cases, to calculate the risk level.

Since the risk levels were first published in January 2021, The Times has made the following methodology changes:

  • March 31, 2021: The description of the risk levels were changed to the risk of exposure to Covid-19, rather than the risk of getting Covid-19. This change was made to more accurately describe the risk situation of the growing number of vaccinated people.
  • March 23, 2021: The risk calculation method was adjusted to use the total number of reported cases, rather than the per capita number, in small counties with fewer than 5,000 people. This change was made in order to estimate risk more precisely in areas where a single case may account for a large percentage of the population.

By Jordan Allen, Sarah Almukhtar, Aliza Aufrichtig, Anne Barnard, Matthew Bloch, Sarah Cahalan, Weiyi Cai, Julia Calderone, Keith Collins, Matthew Conlen, Lindsey Cook, Gabriel Gianordoli, Amy Harmon, Rich Harris, Adeel Hassan, Jon Huang, Danya Issawi, Danielle Ivory, K.K. Rebecca Lai, Alex Lemonides, Eleanor Lutz, Allison McCann, Richard A. Oppel Jr., Jugal K. Patel, Alison Saldanha, Kirk Semple, Shelly Seroussi, Julie Walton Shaver, Anjali Singhvi, Charlie Smart, Mitch Smith, Albert Sun, Rumsey Taylor, Derek Watkins, Timothy Williams, Jin Wu and Karen Yourish. ??·?? Reporting was contributed by Jeff Arnold, Ian Austen, Mike Baker, Brillian Bao, Ellen Barry, Samone Blair, Nicholas Bogel-Burroughs, Aurelien Breeden, Elisha Brown, Emma Bubola, Maddie Burakoff, Alyssa Burr, Christopher Calabrese, Zak Cassel, Robert Chiarito, Izzy Colón, Matt Craig, Yves De Jesus, Brendon Derr, Brandon Dupré, Melissa Eddy, John Eligon, Timmy Facciola, Bianca Fortis, Matt Furber, Robert Gebeloff, Thomas Gibbons-Neff, Matthew Goldstein, Grace Gorenflo, Rebecca Griesbach, Benjamin Guggenheim, Barbara Harvey, Lauryn Higgins, Josh Holder, Jake Holland, Jon Huang, Anna Joyce, John Keefe, Ann Hinga Klein, Jacob LaGesse, Alex Lim, Alex Matthews, Patricia Mazzei, Jesse McKinley, Miles McKinley, K.B. Mensah, Sarah Mervosh, Jacob Meschke, Lauren Messman, Andrea Michelson, Jaylynn Moffat-Mowatt, Steven Moity, Paul Moon, Derek M. Norman, Anahad O’Connor, Ashlyn O’Hara, Azi Paybarah, Elian Peltier, Sean Plambeck, Laney Pope, Elisabetta Povoledo, Cierra S. Queen, Savannah Redl, Scott Reinhard, Chloe Reynolds, Thomas Rivas, Frances Robles, Natasha Rodriguez, Jess Ruderman, Kai Schultz, Alex Schwartz, Emily Schwing, Libby Seline, Rachel Sherman, Sarena Snider, Brandon Thorp, Alex Traub, Maura Turcotte, Tracey Tully, Lisa Waananen Jones, Amy Schoenfeld Walker, Jeremy White, Kristine White, Bonnie G. Wong, Tiffany Wong, Sameer Yasir and John Yoon. ??·?? Data acquisition and additional work contributed by Will Houp, Andrew Chavez, Michael Strickland, Tiff Fehr, Miles Watkins, Josh Williams, Nina Pavlich, Carmen Cincotti, Ben Smithgall, Andrew Fischer, Rachel Shorey, Blacki Migliozzi, Alastair Coote, Jaymin Patel, John-Michael Murphy, Isaac White, Steven Speicher, Hugh Mandeville, Robin Berjon, Thu Trinh, Carolyn Price, James G. Robinson, Phil Wells, Yanxing Yang, Michael Beswetherick, Michael Robles, Nikhil Baradwaj, Ariana Giorgi, Bella Virgilio, Dylan Momplaisir, Avery Dews, Bea Malsky and Ilana Marcus.

Additional contributions to Covid-19 exposure risk assessments and guidance by Eleanor Peters Bergquist, Aaron Bochner, Shama Cash-Goldwasser and Sheri Kardooni of Resolve to Save Lives.

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